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Cake day: June 5th, 2025

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  • It’s not really a generational thing.

    The DNC has been bought by the donor class. They operate under the (not insane) belief that they need huge sums of money to win elections.

    Mamdani makes the donors unhappy, it’s as simple as that.

    Mamdani is around the same age Pete Buttigieg was when he started getting into the national spotlight. Buttigieg doesn’t threaten the donor class, so full support. Fun memes and tweets about him going on Fox News and making a host look like a fool.

    You see any popular candidate get crapped on by the DNC, go read what the candidate wants to do and ask yourself a simple question “does this threaten the wealth of the donor class?” If the answer is yes you are guaranteed that the DNC establishment are going to be fighting that candidate.



  • Oh ok, I think I’ve seen those too.

    Fwiw I don’t really see these widespread where I am, in Ohio. Except for the many bootlickers that fly the thin blue line one, the others are relatively rare in my experience.

    So they aren’t that trendy at least. Not nearly as much as slapping the American flag on some other symbol like the punisher skull.





  • It’s why Mamdani’s win was such a big deal. The establishment was all about Cuomo and they still aren’t lining up behind the voters pick.

    The thing is it looks like the party will be happy to let their bigger names just refuse to endorse him. Media will spend the next few months attacking him for being a scary socialist. And the dnc will suddenly lose track of their “vote blue no matter who” bumper stickers and be happy to fundraise for cuomo as an independent.

    I’m sure though they will send Mamdani and old button making machine or something so they can claim that “this is why we don’t run far left candidates, maybe next cycle we could run Liz Cheney instead!”


  • I should probably say that the weight I give a claim has a direct relationship with the evidence for the claim.

    At some unspecified threshold of weight it become likely enough to be something I believe to be true.

    Taking your counter argument to its extremes you can’t really prove anything. At any point I could go, what proof do you have and I could wave it away as being a trick, you are nothing more than a brain in a jar and I’ve sent you false sensory inputs to make you believe that proof.

    There is a claim, my mother loves me. She cared for me growing up, she sacrificed for me, she proclaims her love for me. I have some evidence for the claim, enough that I believe the claim to be true.

    So I believe that, I don’t truly know it, one could argue you never really know how another feels about you. Actions and words can be false in their nature, many a scammed person believed they were loved by another when that wasn’t the case.

    Now given a claim of the supernatural, one which is predicated on the idea that “this thing is outside of that which can be measured and tested and you have to believe the claim in the absence of evidence” I find that line of reasoning incomprehensible.

    There are many things I could believe, even really nice things, great things, but it doesn’t make them so. I could have believed that my sick old dog would live forever and get better, it would have been nice, but that doesn’t make it true.

    So how should we decide what ideas to give weight to. I find the most sensible way is to give weight to claims based on evidence. My dog will not die but be immortal, that would be great, I love my dog dearly. The claim though runs counter to the experience of all dogs though, so it’s a pretty wild claim. I would need some sort of compelling evidence to believe otherwise. And ultimately, as nice as it would have been for my faithful dog to live forever, to get better and continue enjoying his life alongside me, it was not the case. He and I shared a finite time together and the claims of his immortality were given their rightful weight.


  • If you have read about Pascal’s wager, I found it interesting to read about Pascals Mugging

    I agree with you about encountering vs inventing. Every named supernatural deity is invented by someone, in that some living person first tells the story of their particular god or writes it down. To the believer though these inventions often are considered to be encounters, the person telling the story of their revelation from their god isn’t inventing that they are explaining their encounter with the supernatural.

    I suppose that’s the bit that I look at and go, ok one of two things is true here. Either that person writing their particular holy book has had some kind of encounter with the supernatural or they’ve made this up, either intentionally or unintentionally. I think it’s important to be clear that making it up, inventing it, isn’t necessarily some sort of malicious act. My brain makes up wild implausible nonsensical stories every time I fall asleep, we call those dreams. A man in a cave suffering from dehydration and hunger could be telling no lies at all when they tell me about the mystical creature that appeared before them and told them the secrets of the universe, to them it’s a revelation, to me it’s their brain furiously firing off electrical impulses due to not having enough electrolytes.

    And at the heart of every religion recorded by man is that question, that claim, this isn’t something the author made up, it is real.

    And that is the claim that makes me go, ok, prove you didn’t make this up. Prove that this is real and not a dream or an imagination or a flight of fancy.

    I’ve yet to find anyone offer compelling proof. Most proof comes in the form of “look at this thing that is good, I have attribute it to my magic deity” while I often can agree that the good thing is good I see no reason to attribute it to the magic deity.

    And there are many opportunities magic deities have. I’ve heard many believers attribute healing to their deity of choice, but it’s always some disease that can be healed. What does every single deity have against amputees? Science can’t regrow limbs and they won’t regrow themselves. If an amputee regrew a limb, a thing that doesn’t happen naturally, then I would have some shred of evidence that there’s a supernatural healer at work. And yet over thousands of years and millions upon millions of amputees, no deity has decided one worthy enough to heal.


  • I myself am an atheist in that I choose to only believe things that I can prove.

    That same logic you just laid out applies to the thousands of magical deities that man has invented over the years.

    There’s no evidence I can point to to say that Odin hasn’t blessed a particularly good day. But Odin is just some thought that some human person had at some point, no more worth my concern than the teapot.

    If you accept that line of reasoning then belief almost always boils down to a much softer version of “well ok, not any one man made god in particular, but you can’t disprove the idea of some higher power”

    And really that is just a question of the supernatural. Is there something that exists outside of nature. Is there some force we can encounter that we could never define as part of the universe we exist in but yet still feel its effect.

    Some would argue that feeling that force to begin with would make it part of nature. I am open to the idea, the universe is stranger than we can imagine, but we’ve never encountered such a phenomenon. Even things that seemed fantastical and unexplainable at first, fire, electricity, the double split experiment, all can be understood and explained.

    Humanity’s story has been one of encountering new things and explaining how they work, what they are, why they exist. Every best part of the human journey has come from some form of being confused and trying to understand. So if the question is, are there things we will encounter in the universe which we can’t understand, I think there little value and presuming the answer to be “yes” as all it could do is discourage the person meant to discover it.


  • There’s a pretty famous thought experiment called the magic tea pot

    I believe there’s a magic tea pot, it’s so small we can’t detect it floating out in space. It controls the universe, it communicates in secret to me and tells me its will.

    Would you accept “the absence of evidence is not the same as evidence as absence” about that?

    What about an invisible t-Rex that no one can detect but that definitely controls the weather.

    I can assert made up things all day. And if I make my claims impossible to falsify, that is there’s no way for you to prove them false, that shouldn’t elevate them to somehow being more true, or more worth people treating with any amount of respect because they can’t disprove it.

    I’m making the claim, there’s an invisible t-Rex that is undetectable by any instrument, there’s a magic tea pot floating around Jupiter far too tiny to spot on any telescope. To anyone listening to those claims they don’t need any evidence at all to dismiss them, I need to bring forth some proof that these things exist.

    And even if I could convince, without proof, millions of people that these things exist. Every time a child recovered from an illness we gave praise the tea pot. Every time a team won a football game they directed they gaze towards Jupiter and uttered a blessing unto the teapot. Before every wedding people left out a snack for the t-Rex in hopes of securing fine weather.

    The fact that I’ve convinced many people of the tea pot and t-rex, the fact that they assign many events to them, none of that undoes the original burden of proof.




  • Not just people, the economy will end up paying the price.

    Tariffs have horrible second order effects.

    Every companies outputs is some other companies inputs.

    American companies end up locked out of more affordable vehicles as inputs. That cost then gets baked into its output, which is some other company’s input. Then just keep following that chain.

    The best broad blanket tariffs can hope to do is trade long term competitiveness for some short term price increase.

    Americans will wonder why other nations eat our lunch in the coming decades. Well that foreign company could buy the cheaper machine to produce the widget, their raw materials cost less to deliver because the transit company that ships it in charges a better rate because they have lower vehicle overhead. Since they have 2 dozen suppliers for their components both foreign and domestic they are forced to compete on quality and price.

    American companies will become even more bloated and inefficient



  • It’ll be interesting to see who wants to hire this guy going forward, who wants to work with him.

    I’ve worked in startups for about 20 years, I can’t imagine him being very welcome at one of those.

    In any of the larger tech giants I imagine he’s going to run into plenty of engineers that don’t want a thing to do with him.

    I imagine he’d be welcome at the right wing tech dumpsters that shit out things like truth social.

    The thing is after this “high” I would think he would be insufferable even to those that could stand his politics, I can’t imagine going from riding high thinking you could rewrite the social security office with AI to doing your weekly standup about how many sprint points you accomplished on that bug that keeps showing “No Truths” under trump every time there’s a surge in traffic.

    There’s a reason so many child stars crash out. Reaching those heights, being told you are some sort of wunderkind that early in life doesn’t set you up for success.

    He may have to learn humility and grow through sheer necessity.



  • “Technologist” is a hell of a glaze for this douchebag.

    He’s a child that thought AI was magic and could fix everything being taken advantage of by the worlds richest man to tear down necessary functions of the government.

    He doesn’t have the life experience to realize how awful his choices have been. He has two paths ahead of him. He can either double down and make money continuing his grift with people politically aligned with the horrible project he aided. Or he can try to learn and grow and somehow come to grips with the shame of what he’s done.



  • I left Reddit 2 or 3 years back and have only used Lemmy since.

    I joined through Lemm.ee so recently had to move over to Lemmy.zip

    I think this was a net positive for me overall. Lemmy has a lot less content which helped me break the “I’m slightly bored let me pull out my phone and scroll Reddit” addiction I didn’t even realize I had. Now I check Lemmy maybe once or twice a day, still see the big important events and the couple communities I care about.

    I was never one for twitter, so I don’t bother with trying to find a replacement for that.

    Overall the less social media I use the better I feel. I think future generations will look back on our constant use of social media and dopamine mining the same way we look back on how people used to smoke everywhere.

    We know it’s bad for us, but we like the dopamine so everyone just does it everywhere, we give toddlers tablets so they can start dopamine mining as early as possible. I hope our descendants look back at this time with a sense of “holy shit they just let people smoke in the nurseries at the hospital?!”