But 2 large economies tried to impliment communism… while engaged in a cold war against much more entrenched ideologies, while having corrupt leaders and they didn’t do it well.
And while - which I, personally, think is the biggest reason - starting from pre-capitalist economies, thus materially having to do what capitalism did (rapid industrialisation, disenfranchisement of peasantry, accumulation of capital), and ultimately following what Marxism would have guessed: Their ideology forming around their material reality of having to accumulate capital from labour while trading on the world market. So it basically became its own kind of welfare state/social democratic capitalism, with a bit of “but communism will arrive eventually, we promise!”
Once that material dynamic is entrenched, no amount of ideological purity can simply correct it from the top, you can’t change material society by implementing an ideal onto a reality. It has to develop materially and dialectically, through the process of the old system failing (in unbearable ways), necessitating revolutionary changes.
That means we still have time to wait. Sure socialism is inevitable after full automation and ai which can manage an economy far better than any currency and which brings the value of labor to 0. But until that day social democracy is clearly materially the system of our technological era.
I do think you could be right, but I also think it is a proper dilemma, that it is impossible to really know. An immature attempt at revolution can be impossible to tell apart from a proper revolutionary moment, and a genuinely well-advised conservative “let’s not hastily break something” can be impossible to tell apart from useful idiots for reactionary movements, while living in the historical moment those things are happening. I think, to some degree at least, we just have to accept that uncertainty, and that the course of history is not simply determinable in the chaos of the lived reality.
Doesn’t mean, that there is nothing at all to be analysed, no visions to be had, just that ultimately, every single historical movement will have to live with the reality of “crossing the Rubicon”-moments, where no amount of knowledge, no amount of theory, no amount of smug analysis can really tell the outcome.
I, personally, think advancements beyond social democracy should be possible already - I think the basic ideas laid out in the Gotha Critique (overcoming of monetary system through non-exchangeable production/distribution with a voucher-like system), in combination with advancements in Cybernetics already made within the 20th century (as well as computers to better implement the Cybernetics on top of that), could provide for a system, in which necessary labour can be jointly coordinated, with the aim of reducing work days and increasing value in everyday lives, along with a richer use of free time (think: education, makerspaces, creative hobbies like art and programming) beyond socially necessary labour.
But can I be certain? No. Do I think it is worth fighting for? Definitely.
I actually did a really deep dive into cybernetics, like the actual math involved, which I’m qualified to analyze. It unfortunately would still require a lot of research to get right, and even at the levels of compute we have today it might not be enough. One simply needs to consider the number of types of screws which are necessary to actually fulfill the global demand, and their interchangeability depending on a thousand factors of production, to see the problem. Ultimately, reducing their value to a quantity and optimizing on that quantity based on supply and demand is really easy, compared to some kind of actual graph flow optimization problem based on final product use-demand. The level of democracy at the end would be incredibly complex too, and let’s face it, democracy is not very efficient nor does it even really well reflect the modal persons preferences in a society, let alone representing minority interests.
Ultimately you need a system that can interact with each individuals specific needs and wants (demand), interact with each individual’s abilities, interests, and capacity for labor (supply), even pushing them a bit (incentives), and then balance that interaction with all intermediate necessities to balance the equation, not simply aggregate the averages and expect it to normalize. And even then, think how manipulative, surveillance, and controlling that is.
And while - which I, personally, think is the biggest reason - starting from pre-capitalist economies, thus materially having to do what capitalism did (rapid industrialisation, disenfranchisement of peasantry, accumulation of capital), and ultimately following what Marxism would have guessed: Their ideology forming around their material reality of having to accumulate capital from labour while trading on the world market. So it basically became its own kind of welfare state/social democratic capitalism, with a bit of “but communism will arrive eventually, we promise!”
Once that material dynamic is entrenched, no amount of ideological purity can simply correct it from the top, you can’t change material society by implementing an ideal onto a reality. It has to develop materially and dialectically, through the process of the old system failing (in unbearable ways), necessitating revolutionary changes.
That means we still have time to wait. Sure socialism is inevitable after full automation and ai which can manage an economy far better than any currency and which brings the value of labor to 0. But until that day social democracy is clearly materially the system of our technological era.
I do think you could be right, but I also think it is a proper dilemma, that it is impossible to really know. An immature attempt at revolution can be impossible to tell apart from a proper revolutionary moment, and a genuinely well-advised conservative “let’s not hastily break something” can be impossible to tell apart from useful idiots for reactionary movements, while living in the historical moment those things are happening. I think, to some degree at least, we just have to accept that uncertainty, and that the course of history is not simply determinable in the chaos of the lived reality.
Doesn’t mean, that there is nothing at all to be analysed, no visions to be had, just that ultimately, every single historical movement will have to live with the reality of “crossing the Rubicon”-moments, where no amount of knowledge, no amount of theory, no amount of smug analysis can really tell the outcome.
I, personally, think advancements beyond social democracy should be possible already - I think the basic ideas laid out in the Gotha Critique (overcoming of monetary system through non-exchangeable production/distribution with a voucher-like system), in combination with advancements in Cybernetics already made within the 20th century (as well as computers to better implement the Cybernetics on top of that), could provide for a system, in which necessary labour can be jointly coordinated, with the aim of reducing work days and increasing value in everyday lives, along with a richer use of free time (think: education, makerspaces, creative hobbies like art and programming) beyond socially necessary labour.
But can I be certain? No. Do I think it is worth fighting for? Definitely.
I actually did a really deep dive into cybernetics, like the actual math involved, which I’m qualified to analyze. It unfortunately would still require a lot of research to get right, and even at the levels of compute we have today it might not be enough. One simply needs to consider the number of types of screws which are necessary to actually fulfill the global demand, and their interchangeability depending on a thousand factors of production, to see the problem. Ultimately, reducing their value to a quantity and optimizing on that quantity based on supply and demand is really easy, compared to some kind of actual graph flow optimization problem based on final product use-demand. The level of democracy at the end would be incredibly complex too, and let’s face it, democracy is not very efficient nor does it even really well reflect the modal persons preferences in a society, let alone representing minority interests.
Ultimately you need a system that can interact with each individuals specific needs and wants (demand), interact with each individual’s abilities, interests, and capacity for labor (supply), even pushing them a bit (incentives), and then balance that interaction with all intermediate necessities to balance the equation, not simply aggregate the averages and expect it to normalize. And even then, think how manipulative, surveillance, and controlling that is.