AnarchoAnarchist [he/him, comrade/them]

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  • 34 Comments
Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: November 11th, 2023

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  • This has real “if I were Hitler I simply would have invaded Britain” energy. Purely vibes based analysis that ignores the material conditions and objective reality of the situation.

    Saying “use bunker busters on Natanz” makes it sound simple. Just like “manage fallout diplomatically” makes it sound like a single embassy flunky could do it over a weekend.

    The reality is that if the US knew where every radar installation was and flew a flight of B21s in a crazy serpentine way to avoid detection and managed to drop dozens of Bunker busters, it probably wouldn’t impact the nuclear program at all. And within 10 minutes every oil field on the Arabian peninsula would be in flames. It’s hard to “diplomatically manage fall out” after Iran single-handedly destroys every Gulf Nation economy. I think they should have nukes, I want them to have nukes, but when you can utterly destroy everyone around you with conventional warheads just by targeting their oil infrastructure, it’s a bit of a moot point.

    If “decimating Iran’s nuclear program” were simple, it would have been done already. NATO is not squeamish about conducting an attack like this. The reason it hasn’t happened is because everyone knows military intervention in Iran would make the war in Iraq look like the US SMO in Grenada.


  • The problem is airfields and airbases are stupidly large targets that can absorb a lot of damage.

    Hit the fuel storage or otherwise soft targets and you can cause massive damage. But when it is 70% empty space you need a lot of 50m holes to have the effect you want.

    The real win here is not material damage. It is morale. If one missile can get through, 50 can. If a couple dozen flights can be delayed, the whole airport can be shut down indefinately. If any Israelis felt it was safe to fly out of their settler colony, they are rethinking it now.

    Patching a 50m hole in a taxiway only takes hours. Convincing British airways that hundreds of millions of dollars of planes are safe after this attack, and they should keep their normal routes in place, much harder.







  • Dunning-Kreuger hits medical doctors and engineers the hardest.

    I used to work for a civil engineer who was convinced that climate change was fake. While he was having to take rising sea levels into account. While he knew firsthand that the instances of 100-year storms had increased beyond what was statistically considered normal. He was still convinced that God would not allow humanity to alter the climate.

    Specialized knowledge in a narrow field, can turn people into the biggest idiot. The humility it takes to be an expert in something but still listen to others, is beyond a lot of people. This is made even worse by fields like medicine and engineering that require a massive amount of ego to begin with.