Image is of Gazans breaking their fast with the Iftar meal during the ongoing Ramadan.
Due to a request by @miz@hexbear.net, this thread’s COTW is Qatar.
The ceasefire deal broke down early last week after Israel unilaterally changed the terms of the agreement and then blamed Hamas for not meeting them. Violence against civilians has rapidly accelerated to pre-ceasefire levels, with many hundreds dead already, aid once again cut off, and Israeli soldiers once again entering and occupying the attritional labyrinth that is Gaza.
I’m not yet in a position to make any solid predictions or analysis, as the geopolitical situation in and around Israel has changed fairly substantially over the last 6 months; in some ways benefiting Israel, and in other ways not. We know for sure how Hamas and Ansarallah are reacting (thankfully, with open hostility to both Israel and the United States), but the state of Hezbollah has been a giant question mark for months now, and precisely what Iran plans to do (beyond the usual level of supplying weaponry and intelligence to all the allies it can) is unknown. Syria will be almost certainly be a big wildcard, and we’ll have to see if the compradors in Damascus can weather the storm.
Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the HexAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Update from Ryan Grim on the SECDEF Signals/Groyper Group Chat/Washington WhatsApps:
So the leak was either intentional by the National Security Advisor, or he didn’t realize what he was doing by sharing a Signal group chat with Goldberg. Waltz is a retired colonel who served with the Green Berets. I wonder if parts of the Pentagon are in revolt/trying to reign Trump in. Goldberg is burning a very high placed source by running this story.
Goldberg is a long time establishment journalist, he was one of the first to run the “Iraq has WMDs” stories. So that makes sense. This could also be used now to try get an excuse to remove Waltz. Trump has already sidelined him on Ukraine, so they could use this to get rid of him. Waltz leaking information to a rube like Goldberg might be the end of his presence in the Trump administration.
Also after reading the full article on The Atlantic, it doesn’t seem as if there was much classified information released. Discussions on the strike packages and weapons used, what was hit, and discussing which leaders were killed, is quite an open issue. Open source analysts do that all the time. Obviously Hegseth discussing it on signal just before, during, or after the strikes is a different matter, but it’s not like he just leaked the entire US warplan to the group chat. All the truly top secret stuff was discussed on the “high side”, and not on the signal group chat, according to the article. So Goldberg saying that the war plans were texted to him is pushing it slightly.
rube like Goldberg
RuBe like Goldberg
I didn’t read the article, but according to Ken Klippenstein, Goldberg said he held stuff back that might have “harmed” the US if our “adversaries” gold a hold of it. Basically just enough was released to probably get Waltz dismissed. Could have been a setup/canary trap? Goldberg’s connections to the IDF make this interesting, and again, kind of crazy to burn your source, the National Security Advisor, instead of keeping that info flowing for the next four years. Maybe he just figured someone was going to see his number on the group chat and figure it out eventually?
White House inadvertently texted top-secret Yemen war plans to journalist - The Guardian
Article
In extraordinary blunder top Trump cabinet members added Atlantic editor to chat discussing strikes on Houthis.
Senior members of Donald Trump’s cabinet have been involved in a serious security breach while discussing secret military plans for recent US attacks on the Houthi armed group in Yemen.
In an extraordinary blunder, key figures in the Trump administration – including the vice-president, JD Vance, the defence secretary Pete Hegseth, the secretary of state, Marco Rubio, and the director of national intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard – used the commercial chat app Signal to convene and discuss plans – while also including a prominent journalist in the group.
Signal is not approved by the US government for sharing sensitive information.
Others in the chat included the Trump adviser Stephen Miller; Trump’s chief of staff, Susie Wiles; and the key Trump envoy Steve Witkoff.
The breach was revealed in an article published on Monday by Jeffrey Goldberg, the editor of the Atlantic magazine, who discovered that he had been included in a Signal chat called “Houthi PC Small Group” and realising that 18 other members of the group included Trump cabinet members.
In his account, Goldberg said that he removed sensitive material from his account, including the identity of a senior CIA officer and current operational details.
The report was confirmed by Brian Hughes, a spokesperson for the national security council, who told the magazine: “This appears to be an authentic message chain, and we are reviewing how an inadvertent number was added to the chain.”
Hughes added: “The thread is a demonstration of the deep and thoughtful policy coordination between senior officials. The ongoing success of the Houthi operation demonstrates that there were no threats to troops or national security.”
Donald Trump told reporters at the White House that he was unaware of the incident. “I don’t know anything about it. I’m not a big fan of the Atlantic,” Trump said.
The White House press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, later released a statement saying: “President Trump continues to have the utmost confidence in his national security team, including National Security Advisor Mike Waltz.”
The incident is likely to further raise concerns over the Trump administration’s trustworthiness with intelligence shared by erstwhile allies – not least as Hegseth boasts at one stage of guaranteeing “100 percent OPSEC – operations security” while a celebrated journalist is reading his message.
The discussions seen by Goldberg include comments from Vance, who appeared unconvinced of the urgency of attacking Yemen, as well as conversations over what price should be expected of Europeans and other countries for the US removing the threat to a key global shipping route.
Security and intelligence commentators in the US described the breach of operational security as unprecedented – both for the use of a commercial chat service and for the inclusion of Goldberg.
In the US military, the highest political echelon and intelligence services operate under strict rules for communication of classified material and for the discussion of issues concerning operational security where lives and outcomes could be compromised by disclosure.
While Signal is regarded as a secure encrypted chat service, its weakness is that phones on which it is installed can themselves be vulnerable.
Among those aghast at the breach was the Democratic representative Pat Ryan, an army veteran who sits on the House armed services committee who described it using the second world war-era epithet “Fubar” – meaning “fucked up beyond all recognition”.
“If House Republicans won’t hold a hearing on how this happened IMMEDIATELY, I’ll do it my damn self.”
Shane Harris, a longtime national security reporter – formerly of the Washington Post and now with the Atlantic – wrote on BlueSky: “In 25 years of covering national security, I’ve never seen a story like this.”
Goldberg writes that he was initially dubious about whether the messages might be some kind of foreign disinformation operation, but became convinced they were genuine both because of the language and positions presented and because the plan discussed coincided with an actual attack on Yemen.
One striking exchange involved Vance and Hegseth making disparaging remarks about Europe.
“The account identified as ‘JD Vance’ addressed a message at 8:45 to @Pete Hegseth: ‘if you think we should do it let’s go. I just hate bailing Europe out again,’” Goldberg wrote. (The administration has argued that America’s European allies benefit economically from the US navy’s protection of international shipping lanes.)
Goldberg continues: “The user identified as Hegseth responded three minutes later: “VP: I fully share your loathing of European free-loading. It’s PATHETIC. But Mike is correct, we are the only ones on the planet (on our side of the ledger) who can do this.
“Nobody else even close. Question is timing. I feel like now is as good a time as any, given POTUS directive to reopen shipping lanes. I think we should go; but POTUS still retains 24 hours of decision space.”
In reality, about 20 countries are involved in the mission to protect shipping from Houthi attacks including British warships.
As Goldberg became aware of the attack on Yemen taking place, he recorded how he went back to the Signal channel:
“‘Michael Waltz’ [US national security adviser] had provided the group an update. Again, I won’t quote from this text, except to note that he described the operation as an ‘amazing job.’’’
A few minutes later, [another individual wrote]: “A good start.”
Not long after, Waltz responded with three emojis: a fist, an American flag and fire. Others soon joined in, including “MAR”, [Marco Rubio]. He wrote: “Good Job Pete and your team!!” and “Susie Wiles”. She texted: “Kudos to all – most particularly those in theater and CENTCOM! Really great. God bless.”
When you’re winning the war so hard you compare yourself to south vietnam
USAID-funded Ukrainians Pravda wrote an article on the fall of Saigon and what Ukraine should learn from it.
This was reposted approvingly by Zelensky mouthpiece Mariana Bezuhla
Bezuhla is the ukranian MP, formerly of zelenskyy’s party, that constantly criticizes all the military people z-man has issues with, including former commander-in-chief Zaluzhnyi but not the current zelensky loyalist Syrskyi
Removed by mod
I read it on the Atlantic earlier, not super detailed but still quite stupid to put this on a signal group chat. Goldberg, as expected, exaggerated what was being discussed. At most I can see Trump using this to get rid of Waltz (which it seems as if he’s been wanting to do anyways) and maybe Hegseth if they need another fall guy.
Most surprising thing here is Hegseth seeming to have the best strategic brain (correctly predicted that the Gaza ceasefire would collapse and the US should take the initiative to take action on their own terms), and Vance 100% just focusing on domestic politics and being completely out of his depth on international geopolitics. Everything else, (lack of European Naval capabilities, US military and Navy buildup in preparation to attack Yemen, Houthi/Ansarallah advanced missile capabilities) you could have got from open sources online, including the hexbear news megathread! In fact, I’ve even done breakdowns on the munitions used, which is more information than is present on these texts. This isn’t some super secret information like Goldberg was implying. The most egregious thing is Hegseth texting out the timing of the attack waves as they happened or at most two hours before the first bombs dropped, but even then it was as it happened (first text is less than half an hour before the F-18s take off) and there isn’t any detail on exact targets (co-ordinates/location, names of the leadership that were being targeted). It’s not like Iran or Yemen are a bunch of idiots that had no idea an attack was coming. Yemeni air defences would have been on high alert as soon as the USS Harry Truman entered the Red Sea on March 2nd.
The 6 lunch beers got his strategic mind ACTIVATED
Why is it so quiet in here? I’m the second comment and this thread is at least 30 minutes old.
Edit. I got it now.
im burned out
To be fair it’s always bad news. As if my personal life isn’t already miserable.
I think because the old news thread is still pinned and this one isn’t.
Fuck Israel, fuck the US, free Palestine
I need to vent
I’ve been keeping up with the reporting from Palestine properly since January of last year. I’m by no means an expert on the topic, I’ve lost almost all my friends over my Palestine support, and those who remain almost exclusively refuse to talk about it at all, which makes me stop engaging with them.
And I’m always like “It’s better this way than to have a shitton of fake friends”, but fuck, do I feel alone and isolated these days. Then I watch some news or read articles about Palestine and I quickly don’t care about the cowards and assholes who “used to be my friends” anymore. I’m glad hexbear exists, I think I would’ve given up already without it.
Trump to impose 25% tariff on countries that buy oil, gas from Venezuela - Reuters
Article
WASHINGTON/HOUSTON March 24 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump said on Monday that any country that buys oil or gas from Venezuela will pay a 25% tariff on any trades made with the United States. This “secondary tariff” will take effect on April 2, Trump said in a Truth Social post. Trump is imposing the move because, he said, Venezuela has sent “tens of thousands” of people to the United States who have a “very violent nature.”
Earlier this month, Trump issued a 30-day wind down of a license that the U.S. had granted to Chevron (CVX.N), opens new tab since 2022 to operate in sanctioned Venezuela and export its oil, after he accused President Nicolas Maduro of not making progress on electoral reforms and migrant returns. Trump earlier this month invoked the 1798 Alien Enemies Act to justify the deportation of alleged members of Venezuelan gang Tren de Aragua without final removal orders from immigration judges.
China, which already has been the subject of U.S. tariffs, is the largest buyer of Venezuela’s oil, the OPEC member’s main export. In February, China received directly and indirectly some 503,000 barrels per day (bpd) of Venezuelan crude and fuel, which represented 55% of total exports. Tariff impositions in China to imports of certain types of Venezuelan oil in past years led to a decline in the volume of Venezuelan crude received by Chinese buyers, which ultimately forced state company PDVSA to widen price discounts to continue sellin to its most important market.
Spain, Italy, Cuba and India are other consumers of Venezuelan oil. U.S. imports of the oil are set to end in early April unless Trump extends the wind down. There was no immediate response from Maduro’s government to a request for comment.
Levies by China in past years on imports of certain types of Venezuelan oil led to a decline in the volume of Venezuelan crude received by Chinese buyers, which ultimately forced state company PDVSA to widen price discounts to continue selling to its most important market.
first!
I’m going to use this to quickly update about the Atlas:
- Currently working on UX improvements, adding AI Slop, and more Overpass layers
- Renamed it redAtlas. Check out the live progress here https://redatlas.app/
- I made it selfhostable (if you prefer not going to the netlify hosted one redatlas.app) more here: https://codeberg.org/hex_atlas/redAtlas
- You can share parts of the state via linking the URL e.g https://redatlas.app/information/nexus/prolewiki?country=Germany&id="1599"
- It’s still buggy and I’ll make a proper update once I feel like it’s an alpha-version
Removed by mod
the “suckers and losers” is gonna live rent free in my head forever (as it should, it is a valued guest in my mind palace)
It is such a beautiful summation of how governments view soldiers, in that classic vulgar trump way. Just a bunch of rubes and cannon fodder dumb or desperate enough to die and kill to enrich someone else. Though really all us proles are losers and suckers for not burning this place down everyday.
Daily reminder that fascists love to play with words and toy us in bad faith.
We should treat them accordingly
Everything is illusory except power.
French court finds far-right leader Marine Le Pen guilty in embezzlement case - NPR
PARIS — A French court found Marine Le Pen guilty on Monday in an embezzlement case but didn’t immediately say what her sentence might be and how it might impact the far-right leader’s political future.
Le Pen, sitting in the front row in the Paris court, showed no immediate reaction as the chief judge declared her guilty. She later repeatedly nodded her head in disagreement as the judge went into greater detail, saying Le Pen’s party had illegally used European Parliament money for its own benefit. “Incredible,” she whispered at one point.
The judge also handed down guilty verdicts to eight other current or former members of her party who, like her, previously served as European Parliament lawmakers. Le Pen and her co-defendants face up to 10 years in prison. They can appeal, which would lead to another trial.
The biggest concern for Le Pen is that the court may declare her ineligible to run for office “with immediate effect” — even if she appeals. That could prevent her from running for president in 2027. She has described such scenario as a “political death.” The verdict was shaping up as a resounding defeat for Le Pen and her party. As well as finding her and eight other former European lawmakers guilty of embezzling public funds, the court also handed down guilty verdicts to 12 other people who served as parliamentary aides for Le Pen and what is now the National Rally party, formerly the National Front.
The chief judge, who read the ruling delivered by her and two other justices, said Le Pen had been at the heart of “a system” that her party used to siphon off EU parliament money. The judge said Le Pen and other co-defendants didn’t enrich themselves personally. But the ruling described the embezzlement as “a democratic bypass” that deceived the parliament and voters.
Le Pen and 24 other officials from the National Rally were accused of having used money intended for European Union parliamentary aides to pay staff who worked for the party between 2004 and 2016, in violation of the 27-nation bloc’s regulations. Le Pen and her co-defendants denied wrongdoing.
Le Pen, 56, was runner-up to President Emmanuel Macron in the 2017 and 2022 presidential elections, and her party’s electoral support has grown in recent years. During the nine-week trial that took place in late 2024, she argued that ineligibility “would have the effect of depriving me of being a presidential candidate” and disenfranchise her supporters.
“There are 11 million people who voted for the movement I represent. So tomorrow, potentially, millions and millions of French people would see themselves deprived of their candidate in the election,” she told the panel of three judges. If Le Pen cannot run in 2027, her seeming natural successor would be Jordan Bardella, Le Pen’s 29-year-old protégé who succeeded her at the helm of the party in 2021.
Le Pen denied accusations she was at the head of the system meant to siphon off EU parliament money to benefit her party, which she led from 2011 to 2021. She argued instead that it was acceptable to adapt the work of the aides paid by the European Parliament to the needs of the lawmakers, including some political work related to the party.
Hearings showed that some EU money was used to pay for Le Pen’s bodyguard — who was once her father’s bodyguard — as well as her personal assistant. Prosecutors requested a two-year prison sentence and a five-year period of ineligibility for Le Pen. Le Pen said she felt they were “only interested” in preventing her from running for president.
German Greens want to force people of all ages to serve the state in a new Freedom Service™. Either military or some community service.
“It is time to ask the question: What can you do for you country?”, Schulze said to Deutsche Presse-Agentur. The threats are growing.
“In order make our society more robust, to defend our freedom, and to strengthen cooperation, we need everybody. The Freedom Service is a collective project for Germany, by all and for all. Through the Freedom Service, we will to bring together generations and milieus, strengthen our society, and defend what is important to us.”
I’m not making this up btw.
They’re no longer in government of course, that’s just their contribution to the debate about re-introducing conscription.
Le Pen and eight MEPs found guilty of embezzlement
In my experience, those who say Israel and Palestine are both bad tend to really fucking hate Palestine but not mind Israel all that much.
To show you how much China-bashing is manufactured online, I found a Japan watcher channel which is basically identical to any other China watcher channel right down to how the videos and thumbnails are edited except it’s targeted at Japan instead of China:
https://www.youtube.com/@NipponNarratives4/videosAlmost none of the videos have more than 1k views.
It probably helps that Japan has been depicted as a wholesome anime country and a model for what the rest of Asia should be. People want more anti-China shit because they’ve been primed for decades to hate it.
IDK I think you kind of picked a bad example here is a better one
Overall I think its a possible mistake to think China is unique to this criticism. Yes certainly Japan gets to benefit from delusional weebs biased expectations but what I’ve noticed is even after the “permanent tourist” boom led by some like AbroadinJapan and others, they’ve been quite open in talking about the issues and downsides, despite remaining overall positive, I mean why wouldn’t they? I agree Japan is not a bad place for a foreigner specially compared to post 2020 US/EU.
If you’re really familiar you’ll know this has always been controversial, there was this one guy in the early internet Arudou Debito yeah? He was infamous even 15 years ago and people could not accept his criticism. To be fair he is exactly the type of westerner loser that goes to Japan, gets shocked and then turns Japan hate into a career.
I think overall Americans and western are more racist and biased against Asians than not, the image of cool Japan from the 1990s is far gone and it is not hard to find open and often racist based criticism.
Quite simply genz and later are not growing up with the same Japanese cultural boom as millennials in the early 2000s and it shows. Japan is still popular but you can find pro-Chinese channels with just as many views and overall Asian racism is stronger now than ever.