• rhubarb [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    23 days ago

    Yup, Lihuania, which is a NATO member whose invasion would require a naval supply line seems like the most likely target

    • AnarchoAnarchist [he/him, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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      23 days ago

      Theoretically they could resupply through Belarus. Any invasion of a Baltic nation would probably require taking the others, but taking Lithuania would let them isolate Latvia and Estonia, forify Kaliningrad, and create a more defensible boarder with Poland.

      Regardless, I don’t believe Russia is looking to escalate. At least not until Ukraine is buttoned up. I have been wrong before, but I think Putin is smart enough to avoid declaring war on NATO while in the middle of another attritional war.

      • edge [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        23 days ago

        Invading Lithuania would mean invading NATO in general. Their opening move would have to be closing the Suwałki Gap from both sides, which means they’d actually be starting with Poland. Belarus would have to accept being a full part of the war at that point.

        Of course none of that is going to happen, because Russia doesn’t want World War 3.

  • Awoo [she/her]@hexbear.net
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    23 days ago

    This “former CIA boss” literally doesn’t say anything about invasion. LBC have entirely made that up.

    He says “focus on Lithuania next”.

    That doesn’t mean invasion at all. Politically focusing on Lithuania would be the only viable option as they’re a member of nato.

    They don’t even share a border with Russia’s mainland ffs. Just Kaliningrad. Russia aren’t invading a nato country through Kaliningrad, don’t be stupid.

    • Dessa [she/her]@hexbear.net
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      23 days ago

      You cannot talk to liberals about this. Last time I pointed out that even the article didnt agree with the headline, I was accused of sealioning. And pointing out that Putin isn’t a complete fucking moron and is actually capable of forming strategies, regardless of how evil you think he is, just gets ignored

  • Gucci_Minh [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    23 days ago

    If putin actually invades this highest per capita SS collaborator “country” I will forgive him for being an irredeemable liberal.

    • Ildsaye [they/them]@hexbear.net
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      23 days ago

      Libs act as if the CIA reports intelligence to the public like they’re NOAA - especially “former” CIA. And so the vaporous allegation becomes something of sufficient substance as to be “revealed”

  • companero [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    23 days ago

    The Suwalki Gap between Poland and Lithuania is a very real potential flashpoint, but Russia is not going to randomly invade unless they are provoked.